Egg on My Face
Dan Knight - 7 January 2000
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Well, anyone who expected any new Apple hardware at Macworld Expo ended up with egg on his or her face. The hot rumor now is that Apple will have a special hardware announcment in the near future.
As I've already noted elsewhere, a lot of the changes I and others have predicted is inevitable. The only question is when.
Looking at my predictions (0-2 means not expected, 3-5 means expected):
|
Prediction |
Probability |
Rating |
|
iMac: 50 MHz faster |
4 |
wrong |
|
iMac: DVD for $999 model |
3 |
wrong |
|
iMac: 17" screen |
0 |
right |
|
G4/500 |
5 |
wrong |
|
G4/550+ |
2 |
right |
|
G4 dual CPU |
3 |
wrong |
|
G4 w/3dfx video |
0 |
right |
|
iBook: 64 MB |
5 |
wrong |
|
iBook: faster |
3 |
wrong |
|
iBook: DVD |
1 |
right |
|
iBook: slot loading drive |
1 |
right |
|
iBook: business color |
3 |
wrong |
|
Pismo: announced |
5 |
wrong |
|
Pismo: faster |
5 |
wrong |
|
Pismo: 1" thick |
3 |
wrong |
|
Pismo: DVD on all |
4 |
wrong |
|
Pismo: AirPort |
5 |
wrong |
|
Pismo: more pixels |
2 |
right |
|
Pismo: lighter |
5 |
wrong |
|
Pismo: smaller footprint |
0 |
right |
|
Pismo: G4 CPU |
0 |
right |
|
18" Studio Display |
4 |
wrong |
|
Thin/light PowerBook |
2 |
wrong |
|
Apple PDA |
0 |
right |
|
Something unexpected |
5 |
right |
|
Steve Jobs resigns or new Apple CEO |
0 |
wrong |
Out of twenty-six predictions, I struck out on sixteen. Most that I got right were right simply because no new hardware was announced.
I'll keep this on file (a) as a reminder not to second-guess Steve Jobs and (b) for the forthcoming hardware announcement.
- At least I didn't claim to have any "reliable sources" provide this information, unlike the rumor sites, which have a lot more egg on their faces.
Apple unveiled the Macintosh during the SuperBowl. Anyone want
to lay odds on new hardware then?
Dan Knight has been using Macs since 1986, sold Macs for several years, supported them for many more years, and has been publishing Low End Mac since April 1997. If you find Dan's articles helpful, please consider making a donation to his tip jar.
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