Mac Musings

Egg on My Face

Dan Knight - 7 January 2000 - Tip Jar

Well, anyone who expected any new Apple hardware at Macworld Expo ended up with egg on his or her face. The hot rumor now is that Apple will have a special hardware announcment in the near future.

As I've already noted elsewhere, a lot of the changes I and others have predicted is inevitable. The only question is when.

Looking at my predictions (0-2 means not expected, 3-5 means expected):

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Prediction	Probability	Rating
iMac: 50 MHz faster	4	wrong
iMac: DVD for $999 model	3	wrong
iMac: 17" screen	0	right
G4/500	5	wrong
G4/550+	2	right
G4 dual CPU	3	wrong
G4 w/3dfx video	0	right
iBook: 64 MB	5	wrong
iBook: faster	3	wrong
iBook: DVD	1	right
iBook: slot loading drive	1	right
iBook: business color	3	wrong
Pismo: announced	5	wrong
Pismo: faster	5	wrong
Pismo: 1" thick	3	wrong
Pismo: DVD on all	4	wrong
Pismo: AirPort	5	wrong
Pismo: more pixels	2	right
Pismo: lighter	5	wrong
Pismo: smaller footprint	0	right
Pismo: G4 CPU	0	right
18" Studio Display	4	wrong
Thin/light PowerBook	2	wrong
Apple PDA	0	right
Something unexpected	5	right
Steve Jobs resigns or new Apple CEO	0	wrong

Out of twenty-six predictions, I struck out on sixteen. Most that I got right were right simply because no new hardware was announced.

I'll keep this on file (a) as a reminder not to second-guess Steve Jobs and (b) for the forthcoming hardware announcement.

At least I didn't claim to have any "reliable sources" provide this information, unlike the rumor sites, which have a lot more egg on their faces.

Apple unveiled the Macintosh during the SuperBowl. Anyone want to lay odds on new hardware then?

Dan Knight has been using Macs since 1986, sold Macs for several years, supported them for many more years, and has been publishing Low End Mac since April 1997. If you find Dan's articles helpful, please consider making a donation to his tip jar.

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