Mac Musings

Egg on My Face

Daniel Knight - 7 January 2000 -

Well, anyone who expected any new Apple hardware at Macworld Expo ended up with egg on his or her face. The hot rumor now is that Apple will have a special hardware announcment in the near future.

As I've already noted elsewhere, a lot of the changes I and others have predicted is inevitable. The only question is when.

Looking at my predictions (0-2 means not expected, 3-5 means expected):

Prediction	Probability	Rating
iMac: 50 MHz faster	4	wrong
iMac: DVD for $999 model	3	wrong
iMac: 17" screen	0	right
G4/500	5	wrong
G4/550+	2	right
G4 dual CPU	3	wrong
G4 w/3dfx video	0	right
iBook: 64 MB	5	wrong
iBook: faster	3	wrong
iBook: DVD	1	right
iBook: slot loading drive	1	right
iBook: business color	3	wrong
Pismo: announced	5	wrong
Pismo: faster	5	wrong
Pismo: 1" thick	3	wrong
Pismo: DVD on all	4	wrong
Pismo: AirPort	5	wrong
Pismo: more pixels	2	right
Pismo: lighter	5	wrong
Pismo: smaller footprint	0	right
Pismo: G4 CPU	0	right
18" Studio Display	4	wrong
Thin/light PowerBook	2	wrong
Apple PDA	0	right
Something unexpected	5	right
Steve Jobs resigns or new Apple CEO	0	wrong

Out of twenty-six predictions, I struck out on sixteen. Most that I got right were right simply because no new hardware was announced.

I'll keep this on file (a) as a reminder not to second-guess Steve Jobs and (b) for the forthcoming hardware announcement.

At least I didn't claim to have any "reliable sources" provide this information, unlike the rumor sites, which have a lot more egg on their faces.

Apple unveiled the Macintosh during the SuperBowl. Anyone want to lay odds on new hardware then?