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Mac Musings

Egg on My Face

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- 7 January 2000 - Tip Jar

Well, anyone who expected any new Apple hardware at Macworld Expo ended up with egg on his or her face. The hot rumor now is that Apple will have a special hardware announcment in the near future.

As I've already noted elsewhere, a lot of the changes I and others have predicted is inevitable. The only question is when.

Looking at my predictions (0-2 means not expected, 3-5 means expected):

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Prediction

Probability

Rating

iMac: 50 MHz faster

4

wrong

iMac: DVD for $999 model

3

wrong

iMac: 17" screen

0

right

G4/500

5

wrong

G4/550+

2

right

G4 dual CPU

3

wrong

G4 w/3dfx video

0

right

iBook: 64 MB

5

wrong

iBook: faster

3

wrong

iBook: DVD

1

right

iBook: slot loading drive

1

right

iBook: business color

3

wrong

Pismo: announced

5

wrong

Pismo: faster

5

wrong

Pismo: 1" thick

3

wrong

Pismo: DVD on all

4

wrong

Pismo: AirPort

5

wrong

Pismo: more pixels

2

right

Pismo: lighter

5

wrong

Pismo: smaller footprint

0

right

Pismo: G4 CPU

0

right

18" Studio Display

4

wrong

Thin/light PowerBook

2

wrong

Apple PDA

0

right

Something unexpected

5

right

Steve Jobs resigns or new Apple CEO

0

wrong


Out of twenty-six predictions, I struck out on sixteen. Most that I got right were right simply because no new hardware was announced.

I'll keep this on file (a) as a reminder not to second-guess Steve Jobs and (b) for the forthcoming hardware announcement.

At least I didn't claim to have any "reliable sources" provide this information, unlike the rumor sites, which have a lot more egg on their faces.

Apple unveiled the Macintosh during the SuperBowl. Anyone want to lay odds on new hardware then?

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Dan Knight has been using Macs since 1986, sold Macs for several years, supported them for many more years, and has been publishing Low End Mac since April 1997. If you find Dan's articles helpful, please consider making a donation to his tip jar.

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