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Mac Musings

Macworld Prediction Scorecard

4 January 2000 - Page not found | Low End Mac

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- Tip Jar

This is not a rumor site. I follow the rumor sites. I follow the broader PC market. I try to make an educated guess without the benefit of moles at Apple or elsewhere.

This is your chance to see if my Macworld predictions are in the ballpark - or maybe I don't have a clue. Predictions are from Predictions for Macworld Expo published on Dec. 22, except for the dual-processor G4, which I didn't predict at that time.

Probability is on a scale of 0 to 05.

  • 0: no way
  • 1: not at all likely
  • 2: worse than even odds
  • 3: better than even odds
  • 4: almost a certainty
  • 5: count on it

A few things I've added with a 0 score because I'm convinced they won't happen - yet.

Prediction

Probability

Rating

iMac: 50 MHz faster

4

______

iMac: DVD for $999 model

3

______

iMac: 17" screen

0

______

G4/500

5

______

G4/550+

2

______

G4 dual CPU

3

______

G4 w/3dfx video

0

______

iBook: 64 MB

5

______

iBook: faster

3

______

iBook: DVD

1

______

iBook: slot loading drive

1

______

iBook: business color

3

______

Pismo: announced

5

______

Pismo: faster

5

______

Pismo: 1" thick

3

______

Pismo: DVD on all

4

______

Pismo: AirPort

5

______

Pismo: more pixels

2

______

Pismo: lighter

5

______

Pismo: smaller footprint

0

______

Pismo: G4 CPU

0

______

18" Studio Display

4

______

Thin/light PowerBook

2

______

Apple PDA

0

______

Something unexpected

5

______

Steve Jobs resigns or new Apple CEO

0

______


I'd love a thin/light PowerBook, hope Apple will do it, but remain skeptical. As for the rest, anything rated 3 or higher I fully expect, 0-1 I don't, and 2 is wishful thinking.

One possibility I won't even guess about but would love to see: Apple keeps G4/350 in the line at an even lower price - one of at least 4 speed options for the Power Mac G4.

Have fun rating me, whether from the Macworld floor or visiting via the Internet.

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Dan Knight has been using Macs since 1986, sold Macs for several years, supported them for many more years, and has been publishing Low End Mac since April 1997. If you find Dan's articles helpful, please consider making a donation to his tip jar.

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