Thanks to some articles posted this week, I've finally figured out
why Adobe is shunning Mac users and skipping Macworld Expo
this month - they're trying to pressure Apple into not
releasing one or more new software products.
Adobe is taking it on the chin. They used to sell ATM
(Adobe Type Manager), but later Apple licensed it for free inclusion
with the Mac OS. ATM Lite is now a free download, but Mac
OS X doesn't appear to need it.
Adobe invented PDF, a portable document format. Anyone can
download a free Acrobat Reader, but you had to pay extra money
to buy the version of Acrobat that let you create PDF files. Mac
OS X does that without Acrobat Writer.
Adobe Illustrator could well take it on the chin from
kIllustrator, an alternative drawing program that shouldn't be
too hard to port to Mac OS X (see
Slashdot for more on kIllustrator). Of course, that is a
bit of a niche market, but Adobe already had to surrender
FreeHand when they merged with Aldus. (Remember Aldus?)
Adobe has seen what happened to SoundJam after Apple
released iTunes. Cassady & Greene gave up on competing
with Apple's freeware.
Adobe is taking it on the chin with their Premier video
editing program. Not only is iMovie free, but Apple has their
own high-end competitor, Final Cut Pro. Another Adobe market
shrinking in the face of Apple's applications.
According to Macworld UK, the top wish among Mac users for Apple's
next great freeware program is iPicture/iPhoto, which would
compete head-to-head with Adobe Photo Deluxe and also cut into
the market for the high-end Photoshop 6. (Enough Mac users
probably find programs like ColorIt! and
GraphicConverter do all they need to begin with, but that's
beside the point.)
Adobe is scared. Product by product, Apple seems to be encroaching
on Adobe's markets. Of course, Apple wouldn't dare do this to
Microsoft, which could roll over in its sleep and crush
Apple, but Apple and Adobe have always been perceived as
allies.
If Apple is planning iPhoto, it could help explain Adobe's
decision to skip Macworld. It's not a rational decision, since
Adobe still makes about half their money from the Mac market, but
reason doesn't seem to be a leading factor here.
Is this just a groundless rumor? No, it's not any type of
rumor - not this time. It's trying to put the pieces together and
understand why Adobe, which has made so much money from Mac users, is
now snubbing us. Unless something wholly unanticipated
(Apple buys Adobe!) takes place, Adobe will only hurt
themselves with such childish behavior.
We should know more within two weeks.
- Anne Onymus
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