Low End Mac Reader Specials

TypeStyler For Mac OS X is Now Shipping! Download The Free Fully Functional 60 Day Tryout at www.typestyler.com

OWC: Plug & Play Hardware RAID up to 8.0TB. High Performance, Data Redundant Solutions. FireWire 800, FireWire 400, USB2, or eSATA. Hot Swappable Bays, Data Rates over 200MB/s. Click here

Don't install Parallels to play poker online! Poker Mac will show you how to download and install a native Mac poker application such as Full Tilt Poker Mac.

Laptop Hardware Provided by TechRestore - Overnight Mac & iPod Repairs.

Compare products like desktop computers, apple laptops, apple macs, and LCD Monitors side by side! All the information and reviews to make the best purchasing decision for new mobile phones, sat nav systems, or MP3 players. The Ciao online shopping community makes searching products easy for you.

Stop the Noiz

Apple Could Sell 20 Million iPhones in 2008

Frank Fox - 2008.08.07 - Tip Jar

Popularity:

Bookmark in del.icio.us

The news from Techcrunch about foxconn cranking out 800,000 iPhones a week is amazing. I thought it was amazing that anyone could make that many phones - but if Nokia can sell 435 million a year or 8 million a week, I guess 800,000 a week is small potatoes.

Let's back up to the time before the launch of the iPhone 3G. Apple sold 2.42 million iPhones in Q2-08 and Q3-08. Apple was far short of its 10 million goal for 2008. Back in May analysts were predicting that there was no way Apple could reach its goal.

How can you blame them when sales virtually dried up as Apple cleared the channel for the next generation iPhone? Apple obviously had a lot of work to do.

Then the iPhone 3G launched, and Apple sold one million opening weekend. Things still don't look all that good: for the year they have only sold 3.42 million units. That's still far short of the 10 million predicted.

People started complaining that inventories on the shelves are low, and on top of that Apple is going to launch the iPhone in 20 additional countries around August 22.

How can Apple possibly keep up?

Then the news came out from Techcrunch, and it all started to make sense. Producing 800,000 iPhones a week will start to meet demand just enough, and surplus will go for launching in 20 more countries. Demand should peak again and then start to drop just in time for the holiday season.

There are 20 weeks between now and Christmas. That is 16 million iPhones that could be sold between now and the end of the year. 16 million is a lot more than the 10 million Apple predicted. Will Apple be able to sell that many phones in time?

Apple is selling in 23 countries today with 20 more countries to be added soon. If everything gets divided up equally (which it won't), that is only 372,000 iPhones per country. Suddenly 16 million doesn't sound like too many. Sweden alone may need that many iPhones by the time Christmas is over.

for all those nay sayers, when Steve Jobs said that Apple was hoping to get 1% of the world market share of phones sold in 2008, he was serious. If Apple can pull off selling 16 million phones between now and Christmas, it will pass its projected goal. If we add in sales from the first half of the year, an extra 3.4 million, Apple will sell closer to 20 million total in 2008.

That's twice the original estimate and clearly blows the doors off previous sales figures for the iPhone.

The worse that can happen is if sales start to lag, Apple pushes up their launch date for another 20 countries. As long as foxconn can deliver, Apple looks to have a winning game plan for besting its own estimate.

This is why I like watching Apple. They are the best at moving down the field and getting both touchdowns and extra points.

Recent Stop the Noiz Columns

Apple's Tablet an End Run Beyond Netbooks, 11.20. Whatever Apple has planned will leverage existing technologies while going beyond what its competitors can offer.
Psystar Joins Ranks of Dumb Criminals, 11.16. The judge has ruled, and Psystar has been found guilty of illegally using Mac OS X on its computers.
My Windows 7 Launch Party, 10.23. "The final surprise was that things started to slow down during my demo. I had XP Mode running, several open windows, and a half dozen other apps running."
Windows 7: Bait for Windows XP and Vista Users, 10.19. While Win 7 is competing with OS X in features, it's target audience is Windows users, not Mac users.
More in the Stop the Noiz index.

Links for the Day

Mac of the Day: 15" MacBook Pro Core Duo, Jan. 2006 - The first Intel-based MacBook launched at 1.83-2.0 GHz, had several teething problems.
Group of the Day: System 6 is the email list for those who choose System 6.
November 21 in LEM history: 00: OS upgrades, downgrades - AltiVec vs. Pentium III - 01: Saved by the clones - Computer of the future - 02: Apple Education: Let's get to it - 03: Panther lets Macs and PCs work together, - Lombard SCSI bug - 05: 3 survivors from the 1970s - Real world battery life inadequate - Windows to Mac file transfer with Zip disks - $99 alternative to Microsoft Office - 06: Parallels 1.0 far more polished than beta
Support Low End Mac

Recent Deals

Best eMac Deals, 11.18. Used 1 GHz Combo, $100; SuperDrive, $269; 1.25 GHz Combo, $119; SD, $319; 1.42 GHz Combo, $289; SD, $498.
Best Mac OS X 10.6 and Mac Box Set Deals, 11.18. "Snow Leopard", single user, $25; 5 users, $45; Mac Box Set, single user, $139; 5 users, $180; Server, $414. Shipping included.
Best Xserve Deals, 11.18. Used 1 GHz dual G4, $649; 2.3 dual G5, $795; 3.0 4-core Xeon, $1,899; refurb 2.26 4-core, $2,499; new, $2,888; refurb 8-core, $2,999; new, $3,449; more.
Best 15" MacBook Pro Deals, 11.17. Used 1.83 GHz, $750; 2.16, $800; 2.33, $900; refurb 2.4, $1,299; 2.53, $1,449; 2.66, $1,699; 2.8, $1,899; new 2.53, $1,579; 2.66, $1,799; more.
Best Power Mac G4 and AGP Video Card Deals, 11.17. Used 400 MHz, $50; 933 MHz, $80; 500 dual, $60; 867 dual, $90; 1 GHz dual, $150; 1.25 GHz dual, $225; 1.42 GHz, $499.
Best Mac OS X 10.5 Deals, 11.17. "Leopard" upgrade, $80; single user license, $135; 5 users, $173; Mac Box Set, 5 users, $230; Server, 10 users, $340; unlimited, $850. Shipping included.
Best Mac mini Deals, 11.16. Used 1.42 GHz G4 mini, $379; 1.66 GHz Core Solo, $419; 2.0 Core 2, $450; new 2.26 GHz nVidia, $580; 2.53 GHz, $769; Server, $990.
Best iBook G4 Deals, 11.16. Used 12" 1.07 GHz Combo, $210; 1.33 GHz, $298; 14" 1.33 GHz, $398; 1.42 GHz, $479; SuperDrive, $498.
Best iPod shuffle Deals, 11.16. Used 1 GB, $35; 4 GB, $65; refurb 1 GB, $39; 2 GB, $59; new 2 GB, $55, 4 GB, $75. New and refurb prices include shipping.
More deals in our archive.

About LEM | Support | Usage | Privacy | Contacts

Entire Low End Mac website copyright ©1997-2009 by Cobweb Publishing, Inc., unless otherwise noted. All rights reserved. Advice presented in good faith, but what works for one may not work for all. Please report errors to .
LINKS: We allow and encourage links to any public page as long as the linked page does not appear within a frame that prevents bookmarking it.
Access our RSS news feed at http://lowendmac.com/feed.xml.
Email may be published at our discretion; email addresses will not be published without permission, and we will encrypt them in hopes of avoiding spammers. If you prefer your message not be published, mark it "not for publication." Letters may be edited for length, context, and to match house style.
PRIVACY: We don't collect personal information unless you explicitly provide it. For more details, see our Terms of Use.
Low End Mac is an independent publication and has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved by Apple Inc. Apple, the Apple logo, Macintosh, iBook, iMac, eMac, iPod, iPhone, PowerBook, MacBook, MagSafe, Mac Pro, Apple TV, and AirPort are registered trademarks of Apple Inc. Additional company and product names may be trademarks or registered trademarks and are hereby acknowledged.