Low End Mac Reader Specials

TypeStyler For Mac OS X is Now Shipping! Download The Free Fully Functional 60 Day Tryout at www.typestyler.com

OWC: Get the Right Memory / Ram for your Mac. Top Quality, Competitive Prices, Lifetime Warranty. Expert Support and Video Installation Guidies too! 4.0GB Matched Sets from $87.99, Options up to 32GB. Click here

Don't install Parallels to play poker online! Poker Mac will show you how to download and install a native Mac poker application such as Full Tilt Poker Mac.

Laptop Hardware Provided by TechRestore - Overnight Mac & iPod Repairs.

Compare products like desktop computers, apple laptops, apple macs, and LCD Monitors side by side! All the information and reviews to make the best purchasing decision for new mobile phones, sat nav systems, or MP3 players. The Ciao online shopping community makes searching products easy for you.

Stop the Noiz

Apple Could Sell 20 Million iPhones in 2008

Frank Fox - 2008.08.07 - Tip Jar

Popularity:

Bookmark in del.icio.us

The news from Techcrunch about foxconn cranking out 800,000 iPhones a week is amazing. I thought it was amazing that anyone could make that many phones - but if Nokia can sell 435 million a year or 8 million a week, I guess 800,000 a week is small potatoes.

Let's back up to the time before the launch of the iPhone 3G. Apple sold 2.42 million iPhones in Q2-08 and Q3-08. Apple was far short of its 10 million goal for 2008. Back in May analysts were predicting that there was no way Apple could reach its goal.

How can you blame them when sales virtually dried up as Apple cleared the channel for the next generation iPhone? Apple obviously had a lot of work to do.

Then the iPhone 3G launched, and Apple sold one million opening weekend. Things still don't look all that good: for the year they have only sold 3.42 million units. That's still far short of the 10 million predicted.

People started complaining that inventories on the shelves are low, and on top of that Apple is going to launch the iPhone in 20 additional countries around August 22.

How can Apple possibly keep up?

Then the news came out from Techcrunch, and it all started to make sense. Producing 800,000 iPhones a week will start to meet demand just enough, and surplus will go for launching in 20 more countries. Demand should peak again and then start to drop just in time for the holiday season.

There are 20 weeks between now and Christmas. That is 16 million iPhones that could be sold between now and the end of the year. 16 million is a lot more than the 10 million Apple predicted. Will Apple be able to sell that many phones in time?

Apple is selling in 23 countries today with 20 more countries to be added soon. If everything gets divided up equally (which it won't), that is only 372,000 iPhones per country. Suddenly 16 million doesn't sound like too many. Sweden alone may need that many iPhones by the time Christmas is over.

for all those nay sayers, when Steve Jobs said that Apple was hoping to get 1% of the world market share of phones sold in 2008, he was serious. If Apple can pull off selling 16 million phones between now and Christmas, it will pass its projected goal. If we add in sales from the first half of the year, an extra 3.4 million, Apple will sell closer to 20 million total in 2008.

That's twice the original estimate and clearly blows the doors off previous sales figures for the iPhone.

The worse that can happen is if sales start to lag, Apple pushes up their launch date for another 20 countries. As long as foxconn can deliver, Apple looks to have a winning game plan for besting its own estimate.

This is why I like watching Apple. They are the best at moving down the field and getting both touchdowns and extra points.

Recent Stop the Noiz Columns

My Windows 7 Launch Party, 10.23. "The final surprise was that things started to slow down during my demo. I had XP Mode running, several open windows, and a half dozen other apps running."
Windows 7: Bait for Windows XP and Vista Users, 10.19. While Win 7 is competing with OS X in features, it's target audience is Windows users, not Mac users.
Windows 7 vs. MacBook, 10.14. A free copy of Windows 7 leads to installation problems and two days of frustration, like no 64-bit Boot Camp Utilties.
Moving Data at the Speed of Light (Peak), 10.02. Intel's new Light Peak data transfer protocol is designed for 10 gibabits per second, with plans to push it to 100 Gb/s in the future.
More in the Stop the Noiz index.

Links for the Day

Mac of the Day: 17" iMac G4/800 MHz, July 2002 - The iMac 'grows up' with a 17" 1440 x 900 display.
Group of the Day: LisaList supports Lisa users.
November 8 in LEM history: 99: OS 9: I think I like it - 01: The simplified Mac life - Soured on Windows - Flea market Mac - 02: Little room for improvement in new 'Books - Combo drive upgrade for iceBooks - 04: Re-Porter - 05: Fix the old iMac or buy a Mac mini? - Apple's Copland project - 06: MacBook Core 2 - MacBook value equation - Cheap is as cheap does - 07: Problems with Classic mode in Tiger - The G4 Power Mac that won't run Leopard
Support Low End Mac

Recent Deals

Best Mac Pro Deals, 11.03. Used 2.66 GHz 4-core, $1,300; 3.0 8-core. $2,299; refurb 2.66 4-core Nehalem, $2,149; 2.93, $2,549; 2.26 8-core, $2,799; 2.93, $4,999.
Best iPhone Deals, 11.03. New 8 GB iPhone 3G, $$99; refurb 16 GB 3GS, $149; new, $199; 32 GB, $299.
Best 12" PowerBook G4 Deals, 11.03. Used 867 MHz SperDrive, $348; 1 GHz, $499; 1.33 Combo, $298; SD, $559; 1.5 Combo, $448; SuperDrive, $589.
Best Power Mac G3 and PCI Video Card Deals, 11.02. Used beige 300 MHz, $25; G4/366, $49; blue & white 350, $80; 400, $90; 450, $105; PCI video cards from $15; shipping additional.
Best Power Mac G4 and AGP Video Card Deals, 11.02. Used 400 MHz, $50; 733 MHz, $69; 933 MHz, $209; 1.25 GHz dual, $299.
Best 15" MacBook Pro Deals, 11.02. Used 2.0 GHz, $800; 2.2, $900; 2.4, $1,000; refurb 2.53, $1,449; 2.66, $1,699; 2.8, $1,949; 3.06, $2,169; new 2.53, $1,579; 2.66, $1,799; more.
Best Mac mini Deals, 10.30. Used 1.33 GHz G4 mini, $379; 1.42, $389; 1.5, $419; 1.83 GHz Core Duo, $350; Core 2, $439; new 2.26 GHz nVidia, $580; 2.53 GHz, $770; Server, $990.
Best G4 iBook Deals, 10.30. Used 12" 1.07 GHz Combo, $225; 1.33 GHz, $298; 14" 1 GHz, $349; 1.33 GHz, $398; 1.42 GHz SuperDrive, $498.
Best Classic Mac OS Deals, 10.30. System 6.0.8 floppies, $10; 7.1, $12; 7.5, $20; 7.5 CD, $4; 7.6 $13; 8.1, $11; 8.5, $20; 8.6, $90; 9.0, $20; 9.2.2, $30.
More deals in our archive.

About LEM | Support | Usage | Privacy | Contacts

Entire Low End Mac website copyright ©1997-2009 by Cobweb Publishing, Inc., unless otherwise noted. All rights reserved. Advice presented in good faith, but what works for one may not work for all. Please report errors to .
LINKS: We allow and encourage links to any public page as long as the linked page does not appear within a frame that prevents bookmarking it.
Access our RSS news feed at http://lowendmac.com/feed.xml.
Email may be published at our discretion; email addresses will not be published without permission, and we will encrypt them in hopes of avoiding spammers. If you prefer your message not be published, mark it "not for publication." Letters may be edited for length, context, and to match house style.
PRIVACY: We don't collect personal information unless you explicitly provide it. For more details, see our Terms of Use.
Low End Mac is an independent publication and has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved by Apple Inc. Apple, the Apple logo, Macintosh, iBook, iMac, eMac, iPod, iPhone, PowerBook, MacBook, MagSafe, Mac Pro, Apple TV, and AirPort are registered trademarks of Apple Inc. Additional company and product names may be trademarks or registered trademarks and are hereby acknowledged.